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NASA/TM–2015-104606 / Vol. 41 GDIS Workshop Report - GMAO
Technical Report Series on Global Modeling and Data Assimilation, .... short duration pilot project to demonstrate current GDIS capabilities. See ... The first day (Dec 10) of the workshop was a limited-attendance joint session between ... also discussed drought monitoring and prediction activities throughout the world.
[ Schubert805.pdf - Read/Download File

Ensemble transform Kalman filter perturbations for a regional
Mar 25, 2009 ... regional ensemble prediction system ... The perturbations using the ETKF for the regional ensemble contain more detail ... ensemble forecasting; short-range NWP; dynamical downscaling ... The ensemble run at Instituto Nacional de Mete- ... from a 24 km limited-area model. ...... Workshop on Predictability.
[ 5512aa1c0cf20bfdad51b24b.pdf - Read/Download File

Atmosphere Modeling and Hydrologic Prediction Uncertainty
patterns and the uncertainty of the hydrologic prediction. ... Accurate short-term ( 12-48 hours) rainfall forecasts are often the only means to ... Range Weather Forecasts has improved from the nominal 1.125° horizontal ... Limited Area Models (LAMs). .... the forecast variance through the use of Ensemble Forecast techniques ...
[ 22Castelli.pdf - Read/Download File

Operational Wave Prediction System at Environment Canada: Going
Apr 1, 2016 ... model has a grid spacing of 1/48 with spectral resolution of 36 frequency bins ... limited-area models only. ... regional (a) Pacific, (b) Arctic, and (c) short-range Atlantic and ... The limited-area domain wave forecast models ...... ECMWF Workshop on Ocean Waves, Reading, United .... Institut Pierre-Simon.
[ WAF-D-15-0087.1 - Read/Download File

Session 3 abstracts - Workshop on CMIP5 Model Analysis and
Oct 23, 2015 ... 3 Towards a limited-area climate ensemble prediction system for decadal forecasts ... Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) – Via Donato .... using results from a wide range of CMIP5 Earth System Models (ESMs) and from a large .... In short, NorESM employs own developed schemes for ...
[ Session_3_ABSTRACTS.pdf - Read/Download File

Program of the Fog Remote Sensing and Modeling (FRAM) Workshop
May 22, 2008 ... NCEP Short-Range Ensemble Forecast System (SREF). 16 .... analysis, and 5) integration of model data with observations to predict and detect fog areas and particle .... limited-area (LAM) version of the Canadian GEM forecast model. With ..... b Meteorologisches Institut, Universitaet Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
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Final Report of the Fifth WMO Workshop on the Impact of Various
profile observations in this area. The forecast impact tends to be short-lived (24 hours or so) because of current model deficiencies in the diurnal cycle of the ...
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PDF(138K) - Wiley Online Library
precipitation forecasts and (3) high-resolution ensemble forecasting. Activities of ... very short-range quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF), especially in convective conditions. Various ... element is using various model variants with different parameterisation schemes. Finally ..... In the High Resolution Limited Area Model.
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Programme - ECMWF
Eleventh Workshop on Meteorological ... SESSION 1 Use and interpretation of medium and extended range forecast ... MOGREPS short-range ensemble forecasting and the PREVIEW Windstorms ... of limited-area ensemble activities at Arpa-Sim: The COSMO-LEPS system ... Joáo Simóes, Instituto de Meteorologia (IM).
[ 15529-11th-workshop-meteorological-operational-systems-programme.pdf - Read/Download File

warning, S2S prediction and climate changes for a limited area. 21. 6. Science ... and to review the future of WGSIP range of activities in that context. The agenda ... Michel Rixen provided a short update from the WCRP secretariat, highlighting ..... coupled climate models CanCM3 and CanCM4, with 10-member ensembles.
[ WGSIP17_report.pdf - Read/Download File

FUQING ZHANG Research Interests Educational Background
2013 Co-Chair, 5th PSU-UMD Joint Workshop on Ensemble Data Assimilation .... Yunji Zhang, PhD student since 2012 (co-advise with Z. Meng at Peking University) ... 2014 Co-lead lecturer, WMO VCP short course on data assimilation , Hong ..... assimilation in a limited-area weather prediction model and comparison to.
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Download - ECMWF
Soc. February 2004. (1) European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK. (2) Istituto Nazionale de Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna, Italy .... embedding a high-resolution limited-area model into the climate model. ... involved in ensemble seasonal prediction with coupled models. ..... short time series.
[ 11568-development-european-multi-model-ensemble-system-seasonal-inter-annual-prediction-demeter.pdf - Read/Download File

Can a multi-model approach improve hydrological ensemble
Feb 28, 2011 ... A study on 29 French catchments using 16 hydrological model structures ... system based on a meteorological ensemble prediction sys- tem (M-EPS) ... the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ... casts from six high- resolution limited-area models coupled with a ..... 5) is very poor for short.
[ adgeo-29-33-2011.pdf - Read/Download File

Download pdf-file - Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre - DLR
Feb 14, 1990 ... operational forecast centres and users of forecast products. .... Medium-range ensemble forecasts at the MetOffice ... AMMA and aspects of tropical-extratropical interactions (short ..... A local ensemble Kalman filter with a limited area model. 156 ..... result of a workshop held in Seattle in June 2005 and the ...
[ STISS-proceedings-all.pdf - Read/Download File

A sequential ensemble prediction system at convection - Springer
Nov 17, 2013 ... vations and on a weather forecast model (analysis), is a ... short-range weather forecasting, may also lead to increas- ... Institut fЭr Meteorologie und Geophysik, University of Vienna, ... Ensemble members with low weights are abandoned, and .... non-hydrostatic limited area atmospheric weather predic-.
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Institut für Atmosphäre und Umwelt, Goethe-Universität, Frankfurt am Main, Germany .... climate prediction models to be run with ever higher resolution, the .... centers to make ensemble predictions from short-range to seasonal time scales (e.g., .... ensemble spread in Nino 3.4 area sea-surface temperatures in a 5-member ...
[ 1510.08682.pdf - Read/Download File

Workshop Report - IPCC
Sep 15, 2015 ... IPCC Workshop on Regional Climate Projections and their Use in ... We thank the Government of Brazil and the Instituto Nacional de ..... This should foster research on distilling across multi-model multi-method ensemble data, in ..... IPCC Expert Meeting, with a range of stakeholders and users, and areas of.
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Report of the workshop - IPCC
Jul 26, 2004 ... Catherine Senior (Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and ... This workshop has been generously supported by the Institut Pierre ..... ocean, because of their large area. ... with an ensemble of model runs having a range of parameters ... do to GHG-forced climate change, owing to the short timescale and.
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An evaluation of decadal probability forecasts from state-of-the - LSE
Dec 1, 2013 ... (ENSEMBLES) project is contrasted with several empirical models. ... a regular component of large model forecast evaluations. ... probability forecasts from simulation models with that .... apparent bias reduction at short lead times on the order of the ..... clear communication of the (limited) expectations for.
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Synthesis of new scientific challenges for - Archimer - Ifremer
Oct 16, 2015 ... Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement/Institut Pierre‐Simon .... Coupled Limited Area Model (Australian Bureau of Meteorology) ... regional predictions and ensemble forecasting. .... Short-to-medium-range predictions using global ocean ..... three successful international coordination workshops, the.
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