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Emerging Market Business Cycles - Mark Aguiar
Emerging market business cycles exhibit strongly countercyclical cur- ... business cycle features of both emerging and developed small open .... Emerging vs.
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Emerging Market Business Cycles - The Federal Reserve Bank of
key business cycle facts for emerging markets and developed small open ... distinguish the impact of a standard productivity shock versus a growth shock on.
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Emerging Market Business Cycles: The Cycle is the Trend - Harvard
The key features of emerging market business cycles are then shown to be consistent ... While business cycle fluctuations in developed markets may have moderated in ..... Our main focus is to contrast estimates of the importance of trend vs.
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Emerging Market Business Cycles Revisited - Federal Reserve
Emerging Market Business Cycles Revisited: Learning about the Trend. Emine Boz. Christian ..... median value is 0.81 versus 0.38 for developed countries. Thus  ...
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Business Cycles in Emerging Markets: The Role of Durable - IMF
nondurable consumption is not as volatile as income for both developed and emerging ... Keywords: emerging markets, real business cycles, durables, financial frictions. ..... Following our assumptions on the tradability versus nontradability of ...
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Emerging Market Business Cycles: The Cycle is the Trend
business cycle facts for emerging markets and developed small open economies. Section ... standard productivity shock versus a growth shock on consumption, ...
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Business Cycles in Emerging Economies - Federal Reserve Bank of
in the real interest rates they face in international financial markets; these ... the relation between real interest rates and business cycles in emerging ... In contrast , real rates in developed economies are acyclical and lag the cycle. ...... data (- 0.63), and net exports are much less countercyclical than in the data (-0.08 vs. - 0.89) ...
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Trade in Commodities and Emerging Market Business Cycles1
Business cycles in emerging countries are more volatile than in developed ones. .... of Commodities and Trade Imbalances: Emerging vs. Developed Economies.
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Real Business Cycles in Emerging Countries? - Columbia University
Dec 3, 2010 ... economic fluctuations in emerging markets, theoretical models must take explicitly into account the role of policy ... explain well business cycles in developing countries. .... percent versus 7.2 percent, respectively. Third, the ...
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Trend shocks and economic development - Cepii
business cycle behavior observed between developed, emerging, and ... Gopinath (2007) (2007) [“Emerging Market Business Cycles: The Cycle Is the Trend” ...
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Emerging Economy Business Cycles: Financial Integration and
Keywords: Macroeconomics, real business cycles, emerging market DSGE models, volatility, ... erature is developing recently on the relation between integration and volatility. ... We find a wide range in the degree of trade versus financial.
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Emerging Market Business Cycles: The Role of Labor Market Frictions
Keywords: emerging markets, labor markets, business cycles, search frictions ... of employment in developed economies is close to that of output.3 These ..... vs. 1.77 percent). It is difficult to argue that the public sector employment does not ...
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BUSINESS CYCLES IN EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES: A NEW
Key words: Business cycles; turning points; emerging market economies; quantitative .... In a more recent study on the nature of business cycles in developing ...
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global economic prospects | january 2016 - World Bank
financially developed than emerging market economies. Therefore, ... markets? • Do business cycles in BRICS move in tandem ... Global versus regional effects.
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Business Cycles and Macroeconomic Policy in Emerging Market
trade and are less financially developed. Latin America in ... Allowing for asymmetrical responses to expansions versus contrac- tions also does not ... to understand business cycles in emerging market economies. In particular, there is a.
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Interest rates and business cycles in emerging - Suomen Pankki
Jun 7, 2012 ... important driving force of business cycles in emerging market ..... Table 1: Emerging and developed markets' business cycle moments. Second ...
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A Simple Model to Teach Business Cycle - Ohio University
Jun 29, 2015 ... uctuations in emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). ... Business Cycle Macroeconomics for Emerging Market and Developing ...
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Business Cycles and Macroeconomic Policy in Emerging Market
market economies, so long as these invest in developing a robust domestic institutional infrastructure. .... Allowing for asymmetrical responses to expansions versus contrac- ... to understand business cycles in emerging market economies.
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Business Cycles in Emerging Economies: The Role of Interest Rates
economies face in international capital markets and their business cycles. .... US dollar denominated debt developed only after the first Brady plan in 1990.
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Labour Share Fluctuations in Emerging Markets - Bank of Canada
indicate that emerging markets differ from developed markets in terms of changes in the labour share over ... Bank classification: Business fluctuations and cycles; Labour markets; Development economics .... Figure 2: Labour Share vs. Interest ...
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Dynamic Correlation Analysis of Business Cycles of the Emerging
about the synchronization of business cycles in developed countries and in .... of business cycles within the groups of OECD countries and emerging markets.
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Business Cycles and Financial Intermediation in Emerging Economies
on capital flows and the business cycle in emerging markets. A financial .... developed small open economies, (ii) excess volatility in consumption and (iii) a strongly .... High risk countries have a coefficient of correlation of 0.54 versus 0.35 .
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Trend Shocks and Financial Frictions in Small Open Economies
In a very influential paper titled "Emerging Market Business Cycles: The. Cycle is ... example of a developed small open economy, Aguiar and Gopinath show that ... ods to first analyze the relative importance of non-stationary versus stationary.
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